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Dominic Thiem vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Thiem vs Medvedev analysis and find out who is favored!
Dominic Thiem vs Daniil Medvedev Important H2H Prediction Stats:
Head-to-head: Thiem 3 - 3 Medvedev
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Thiem has won 47.93% of points on their second serve, while Medvedev has won 49.28%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Thiem, in recent form, has won 45.75% of their opponent's second serve points, while Medvedev has won 53%. The same stats for first serve returns are 30.03% and 33.21% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Thiem has saved 57.14% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Medvedev has saved 59.75% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Thiem has won 50% of matches played (W/L 22/ 22), with Medvedev winning 72.6% (W/L 53/ 20) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Thiem has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 70% (W/L 259/ 111), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 45% (W/L 14/ 17). Medvedev has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 76% (W/L 237/ 74), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 85/ 47).
- Player level: In the last year, Thiem has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 54.17% of matches (W/L 13/ 11), where as Medvedev has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 66.67% of matches (W/L 18/ 9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 6 times before with Thiem winning 3 times and Medvedev being victorious 3 times. They have played 15 sets in total, with Thiem winning 8 and Medvedev winning 7. The last match between Thiem and Medvedev was at the Erste Bank Open - Vienna, 27-10-2022, Second, I.hard with Daniil Medvedev getting the victory 6-3 6-3.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:55:32.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Thiem and Medvedev have played a deciding set 2 times, with Thiem winning 1 times and Medvedev 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 4 tiebreaks against each other with Thiem winning 3, and Medvedev 1.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Thiem has played against opponents with an average rank of 172.59 while Medvedev has played against players with an average rank of 92.45.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Thiem has won 60% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Medvedev has won 68% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Thiem has converted 32.29% of breakpoint opportunities, and Medvedev has converted 44.41% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
- If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
134
Rank
3
High
30
Age
R
Plays
3
Total3
1
Hard1
1
Clay0
1
Indoor2
0
Grass0
5
Rank
1
High
28
Age
R
Plays
W
L
W
L
L
L
W
L
W
L
Form
W
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
W
L
64% (483-273)
Career Total W/L
72% (515-205)
44% (7-9)
YTD W/L
76% (26-8)
$20,532,215
Career Prize Money
$29,340,920
0
YTD Titles
0
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
| stats | Dominic Thiem | Daniil Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| All H2H Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Sets Won | 8 | 7 |
| Games Won | 74 | 73 |
| Aces (Total) | 22 | 39 |
| DFs (Total) | 9 | 22 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:55:32 | 1:55:32 |
| 1st Serve % | 63% (297/470) | 59% (283/479) |
| 1st Serve Win% | 73% (217/297) | 73% (206/283) |
| 2nd Serve Win% | 50% (86/173) | 49% (97/196) |
| BPs Won% (Total) | 34% (13/38) | 34% (13/38) |
| Return Points W% | 37% (176/479) | 36% (167/470) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 40% (2/5) | 60% (3/5) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 75% (3/4) | 25% (1/4) |
| Deciding Set Win% | 50% (1/2) | 50% (1/2) |
| 1st set W, W | 75% (4/3) | 100% (2/2) |
| 1st set W, L | 25% (4/1) | 0% (2/0) |
| 1st set L, W | 0% (2/0) | 25% (4/1) |
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-3 6-3 |
Stats 
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Dominic Thiem
71%
(
40 of
56)
1st Serve %
65%
(
41 of
63)
6
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
1
78%
(
31 of
40)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
27 of
41)
56%
(
9 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
9 of
22)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
29%
(
16 of
56)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
27 of
63)
67
Total Points Won
52
|
||||
| 4-6 7-6(2) 6-4 |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Dominic Thiem
60%
(
66 of
110)
1st Serve %
73%
(
85 of
117)
12
Aces
6
3
Double Faults
1
77%
(
51 of
66)
1st Serve Won
74%
(
63 of
85)
55%
(
24 of
44)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
14 of
32)
11%
(
1 of
9)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
32%
(
35 of
110)
Rtn Points Won
34%
(
40 of
117)
115
Total Points Won
112
|
||||
| 6-2 7-6(7) 7-6(5) |
Stats
Dominic Thiem
Player
Daniil Medvedev
59%
(
67 of
114)
1st Serve %
59%
(
74 of
126)
2
Aces
12
3
Double Faults
4
79%
(
53 of
67)
1st Serve Won
76%
(
56 of
74)
55%
(
26 of
47)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
21 of
52)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
25%
(
2 of
8)
31%
(
35 of
114)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
49 of
126)
128
Total Points Won
112
|
||||
| 6-3 6-1 |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Dominic Thiem
59%
(
23 of
39)
1st Serve %
66%
(
29 of
44)
6
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
96%
(
22 of
23)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
17 of
29)
63%
(
10 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
5 of
15)
44%
(
4 of
9)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
18%
(
7 of
39)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
22 of
44)
54
Total Points Won
29
|
||||
| 6-4 6-0 |
Stats
Dominic Thiem
Player
Daniil Medvedev
68%
(
34 of
50)
1st Serve %
51%
(
25 of
49)
2
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
3
74%
(
25 of
34)
1st Serve Won
36%
(
9 of
25)
56%
(
9 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
46%
(
11 of
24)
63%
(
5 of
8)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
32%
(
16 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
59%
(
29 of
49)
63
Total Points Won
36
|
||||
| 6-2 3-6 7-6(2) |
Stats
Dominic Thiem
Player
Daniil Medvedev
50%
(
41 of
82)
1st Serve %
56%
(
55 of
99)
10
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
6
78%
(
32 of
41)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
37 of
55)
56%
(
23 of
41)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
22 of
44)
20%
(
3 of
15)
Break Points Won
67%
(
2 of
3)
33%
(
27 of
82)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
40 of
99)
95
Total Points Won
86
|
||||
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| stats | Dominic Thiem | Daniil Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| YTD W/L | 44% (7/9) | 76% (26/8) |
| Sets Win/Loss | 40% (16/24) | 66% (63/32) |
| Games Win/Loss | 46% (178/212) | 54% (496/427) |
| Hard Win/Loss | 50% (2/2) | 82% (18/4) |
| Clay Win/Loss | 36% (4/7) | 67% (8/4) |
| Indoor Hard W/L | 100% (1/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Aces pg | 0.3 | 0.42 |
| Aces Total | 57 | 192 |
| DFs per game | 0.25 | 0.3 |
| DFs Total | 48 | 135 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:54:15 | 2:8:30 |
| Avg Opp Rank | 207.69 | 101 |
| 1st Serve % | 61% (684/1118) | 62% (1787/2903) |
| 1st Serve W% | 66% (452/684) | 72% (1291/1787) |
| 2nd Serve W% | 48% (208/434) | 49% (550/1116) |
| BPs Won% Total | 32% (31/96) | 44% (131/295) |
| Return Pts W% | 36% (404/1136) | 40% (1203/2976) |
| Slam W/L | 33% (1/2) | 82% (9/2) |
| Masters W/L | 33% (1/2) | 74% (14/5) |
| Cups W/L | 100% (1/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Main Tour W/L | 50% (3/3) | 75% (3/1) |
| Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Challenger W/L | 33% (1/2) | 0% (0/0) |
| Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 47% (7/15) | 78% (18/23) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/1) | 80% (8/10) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 67% (4/6) | 85% (11/13) |
| Deciding Set W% | 83% (5/6) | 89% (8/9) |
| 1st set W, W | 100% (4/4) | 90% (21/19) |
| 1st set W, L | 0% (4/0) | 10% (21/2) |
| 1st set L, W | 25% (12/3) | 54% (13/7) |
Dominic Thiem Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 |
Stats
Otto Virtanen
Player
Dominic Thiem
68%
(
41 of
60)
1st Serve %
52%
(
39 of
75)
7
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
5
76%
(
31 of
41)
1st Serve Won
51%
(
20 of
39)
47%
(
9 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
17 of
36)
45%
(
5 of
11)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
33%
(
20 of
60)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
38 of
75)
78
Total Points Won
57
|
6-2 7-5 | H2H | ||
| Q1 |
Stats
Dominic Thiem
Player
Franco Agamenone
55%
(
46 of
84)
1st Serve %
69%
(
68 of
99)
4
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
5
70%
(
32 of
46)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
40 of
68)
53%
(
20 of
38)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
14 of
31)
36%
(
5 of
14)
Break Points Won
33%
(
3 of
9)
38%
(
32 of
84)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
45 of
99)
97
Total Points Won
86
|
3-6 6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Player
Dominic Thiem
70%
(
32 of
46)
1st Serve %
64%
(
36 of
56)
4
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
81%
(
26 of
32)
1st Serve Won
50%
(
18 of
36)
57%
(
8 of
14)
2nd Serve Won
55%
(
11 of
20)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
4)
26%
(
12 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
27 of
56)
61
Total Points Won
41
|
6-1 6-3 | H2H | ||
| Q1 |
Stats
Dominic Thiem
Player
Felipe Meligeni Alves
61%
(
54 of
88)
1st Serve %
73%
(
72 of
99)
6
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
1
69%
(
37 of
54)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
44 of
72)
56%
(
19 of
34)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
13 of
27)
36%
(
5 of
14)
Break Points Won
27%
(
3 of
11)
36%
(
32 of
88)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
42 of
99)
98
Total Points Won
89
|
6-2 3-6 7-5 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Alejandro Moro Canas
Player
Dominic Thiem
75%
(
58 of
77)
1st Serve %
51%
(
29 of
57)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
66%
(
38 of
58)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
16 of
29)
37%
(
7 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
14 of
28)
83%
(
5 of
6)
Break Points Won
38%
(
3 of
8)
42%
(
32 of
77)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
27 of
57)
72
Total Points Won
62
|
6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
| Q1 |
Stats
Roberto Bautista Agut
Player
Dominic Thiem
78%
(
35 of
45)
1st Serve %
64%
(
27 of
42)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
3
69%
(
24 of
35)
1st Serve Won
37%
(
10 of
27)
70%
(
7 of
10)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
6 of
15)
83%
(
5 of
6)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
31%
(
14 of
45)
Rtn Points Won
62%
(
26 of
42)
57
Total Points Won
30
|
6-1 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Richard Gasquet
Player
Dominic Thiem
52%
(
32 of
61)
1st Serve %
57%
(
52 of
91)
3
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
4
72%
(
23 of
32)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
34 of
52)
72%
(
21 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
51%
(
20 of
39)
25%
(
2 of
8)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
28%
(
17 of
61)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
37 of
91)
81
Total Points Won
71
|
6-4 7-6(6) | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Dominic Thiem
Player
Maximilian Marterer
61%
(
52 of
85)
1st Serve %
62%
(
59 of
95)
6
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
7
73%
(
38 of
52)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
35 of
59)
48%
(
16 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
16 of
36)
50%
(
6 of
12)
Break Points Won
33%
(
2 of
6)
36%
(
31 of
85)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
44 of
95)
98
Total Points Won
82
|
6-1 6-7(3) 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Lukas Neumayer
Player
Dominic Thiem
62%
(
45 of
73)
1st Serve %
56%
(
27 of
48)
1
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
2
67%
(
30 of
45)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
16 of
27)
57%
(
16 of
28)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
8 of
21)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
8)
37%
(
27 of
73)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
24 of
48)
70
Total Points Won
51
|
6-2 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R1 | 6-2 7-6(4) | H2H | |||
view more
Daniil Medvedev Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R4 |
Stats
Alex De Minaur
Player
Daniil Medvedev
54%
(
55 of
101)
1st Serve %
57%
(
65 of
114)
7
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
2
76%
(
42 of
55)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
40 of
65)
57%
(
26 of
46)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
22 of
49)
50%
(
7 of
14)
Break Points Won
20%
(
2 of
10)
33%
(
33 of
101)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
52 of
114)
120
Total Points Won
95
|
4-6 6-2 6-1 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Tomas Machac
62%
(
93 of
149)
1st Serve %
63%
(
86 of
136)
14
Aces
3
9
Double Faults
2
66%
(
61 of
93)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
52 of
86)
50%
(
28 of
56)
2nd Serve Won
58%
(
29 of
50)
50%
(
5 of
10)
Break Points Won
33%
(
5 of
15)
40%
(
60 of
149)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
55 of
136)
144
Total Points Won
141
|
7-6(4) 7-5 1-6 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Miomir Kecmanovic
87%
(
27 of
31)
1st Serve %
59%
(
26 of
44)
6
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
85%
(
23 of
27)
1st Serve Won
50%
(
13 of
26)
25%
(
1 of
4)
2nd Serve Won
28%
(
5 of
18)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
23%
(
7 of
31)
Rtn Points Won
59%
(
26 of
44)
50
Total Points Won
25
|
6-1 5-0 ret. | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Dominik Koepfer
68%
(
73 of
108)
1st Serve %
65%
(
88 of
135)
1
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
5
77%
(
56 of
73)
1st Serve Won
57%
(
50 of
88)
43%
(
15 of
35)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
22 of
47)
64%
(
7 of
11)
Break Points Won
100%
(
4 of
4)
34%
(
37 of
108)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
63 of
135)
134
Total Points Won
109
|
6-3 6-4 5-7 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Tommy Paul
Player
Daniil Medvedev
67%
(
39 of
58)
1st Serve %
45%
(
19 of
42)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
2
59%
(
23 of
39)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
11 of
19)
74%
(
14 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
10 of
23)
83%
(
5 of
6)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
36%
(
21 of
58)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
21 of
42)
58
Total Points Won
42
|
6-1 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Jack Draper
50%
(
35 of
70)
1st Serve %
48%
(
32 of
66)
3
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
83%
(
29 of
35)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
21 of
32)
40%
(
14 of
35)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
14 of
34)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
30%
(
3 of
10)
39%
(
27 of
70)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
31 of
66)
74
Total Points Won
62
|
7-5 6-4 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Jiri Lehecka
Player
Daniil Medvedev
67%
(
16 of
24)
1st Serve %
70%
(
23 of
33)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
94%
(
15 of
16)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
15 of
23)
63%
(
5 of
8)
2nd Serve Won
60%
(
6 of
10)
33%
(
1 of
3)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
17%
(
4 of
24)
Rtn Points Won
36%
(
12 of
33)
32
Total Points Won
25
|
6-4 ret. | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Alexander Bublik
57%
(
37 of
65)
1st Serve %
57%
(
46 of
81)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
4
68%
(
25 of
37)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
33 of
46)
61%
(
17 of
28)
2nd Serve Won
34%
(
12 of
35)
75%
(
3 of
4)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
35%
(
23 of
65)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
36 of
81)
78
Total Points Won
68
|
7-6(3) 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Sebastian Korda
66%
(
77 of
116)
1st Serve %
58%
(
59 of
101)
7
Aces
13
1
Double Faults
0
77%
(
59 of
77)
1st Serve Won
69%
(
41 of
59)
51%
(
20 of
39)
2nd Serve Won
60%
(
25 of
42)
40%
(
2 of
5)
Break Points Won
18%
(
2 of
11)
32%
(
37 of
116)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
35 of
101)
114
Total Points Won
103
|
5-7 7-6(4) 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
64%
(
52 of
81)
1st Serve %
57%
(
51 of
89)
3
Aces
7
5
Double Faults
4
83%
(
43 of
52)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
37 of
51)
52%
(
15 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
19 of
38)
29%
(
2 of
7)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
28%
(
23 of
81)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
33 of
89)
91
Total Points Won
79
|
2-6 6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
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Thiem Vs Medvedev Prediction H2H Images To Share
More tennis photos of Thiem are available here and Medvedev photos here.
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